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Sunday 24 September 2017, 19:30 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
0–4
HT 0–3
54% 23% 22%
Home win
54.5%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
22.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 54.5% 1.84
Draw 23.4% 4.27
Celta Vigo 22.1% 4.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.94
Over 1.5 81.7% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.3% 5.45
Over 2.5 59.1% 1.69
Under 2.5 40.9% 2.45
Over 3.5 36.7% 2.72
Under 3.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 4.5 19.6% 5.11
Under 4.5 80.4% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.9% 1.70
No 41.1% 2.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 77.9% 1.28
Eibar / Celta Vigo 76.6% 1.31
Draw / Celta Vigo 45.5% 2.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
4.8
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
8.3
10.9
5.9
2.3
0.7
0.2
2
8.5
9.8
5.7
2.2
0.6
0.1
3
5.4
6.3
3.6
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
2.6
3.0
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
1.0
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.