Sunday 10 September 2017, 19:30
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
37%
29%
34%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
33.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Alaves | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.5% | 10.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.0% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.1% | 9.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Alaves | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.5
|
9.5
|
6.1
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
13.7
|
7.7
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.1
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.4
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Celta Vigo
3-4
Alaves
Nov 2025
Alaves
0-1
Celta Vigo
Jan 2025
Alaves
1-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
2-1
Alaves
Apr 2024
Alaves
3-0
Celta Vigo
Sep 2023
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.