Sunday 21 May 2017, 17:45
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
35%
25%
40%
Home win
35.2%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
39.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.7% | 5.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Real Sociedad | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
6.5
|
5.8
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
11.4
|
8.7
|
4.6
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
8.1
|
6.5
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
4.1
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
3-1
Celta Vigo
Oct 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Real Sociedad
May 2025
Real Sociedad
0-1
Celta Vigo
Dec 2024
Celta Vigo
2-0
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Sociedad
Aug 2023
Real Sociedad
1-1
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.