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Sunday 23 April 2017, 13:00 Anoeta Full time
58% 24% 18%
Home win
58.1%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
18.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 58.1% 1.72
Draw 23.7% 4.22
Deportivo La Coruna 18.2% 5.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 14.98
Over 1.5 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.3% 4.47
Over 2.5 53.2% 1.88
Under 2.5 46.8% 2.14
Over 3.5 31.0% 3.23
Under 3.5 69.0% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.3% 6.52
Under 4.5 84.7% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.4% 1.91
No 47.6% 2.10

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 81.8% 1.22
Real Sociedad / Deportivo La Coruna 76.3% 1.31
Draw / Deportivo La Coruna 41.9% 2.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
5.1
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
10.6
11.3
5.0
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.4
9.9
4.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
6.5
6.1
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
3.0
2.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.