Sunday 2 April 2017, 19:30
Mestalla
Full time
47%
25%
28%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
28.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.6% | 4.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.4% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.0% | 5.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Valencia / Deportivo La Coruna | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
6.1
|
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
12.0
|
7.0
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
9.4
|
5.9
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
5.2
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2018
Valencia
2-1
Deportivo La Coruna
Jan 2018
Deportivo La Coruna
1-2
Valencia
Oct 2016
Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.