Tuesday 28 February 2017, 22:30
Mestalla
Full time
55%
25%
21%
Home win
54.8%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
20.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Leganes | 20.6% | 4.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.9% | 6.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Valencia / Leganes | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
5.6
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
11.7
|
5.6
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
9.8
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
5.8
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Valencia
2-0
Leganes
Oct 2024
Leganes
0-0
Valencia
Jul 2020
Leganes
1-0
Valencia
Sep 2019
Valencia
1-1
Leganes
Feb 2019
Leganes
1-1
Valencia
Oct 2018
Valencia
1-1
Leganes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.