Wednesday 22 February 2017, 19:45
Mestalla
Full time
14%
17%
69%
Home win
13.6%
Draw
17.3%
Away win
69.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 13.6% | 7.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.3% | 5.76 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 35.15 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.0% | 9.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Valencia / Real Madrid | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
5.9
|
8.3
|
7.2
|
4.7
|
2.4
|
| 1 |
2.3
|
7.4
|
9.2
|
8.0
|
5.2
|
2.7
|
| 2 |
1.5
|
3.9
|
5.1
|
4.4
|
2.9
|
1.5
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.4
|
1.9
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Valencia
0-2
Real Madrid
Nov 2025
Real Madrid
4-0
Valencia
Apr 2025
Real Madrid
1-2
Valencia
Jan 2025
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Mar 2024
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
Nov 2023
Real Madrid
5-1
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.