Saturday 18 February 2017, 17:15
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
70%
18%
12%
Home win
70.2%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
11.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.3% | 5.47 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 11.6% | 8.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.4% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Espanyol | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
2.9
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
8.6
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.6
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
7.5
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.1
|
4.5
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Espanyol
0-2
Real Madrid
Sep 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Espanyol
Feb 2025
Espanyol
1-0
Real Madrid
Sep 2024
Real Madrid
4-1
Espanyol
Mar 2023
Real Madrid
3-1
Espanyol
Aug 2022
Espanyol
1-3
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.