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Friday 10 February 2017, 21:45 RCDE Stadium Full time
43% 27% 30%
Home win
42.8%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
30.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 42.8% 2.34
Draw 27.1% 3.69
Real Sociedad 30.1% 3.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.17
Over 1.5 75.5% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.5% 4.08
Over 2.5 50.1% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.9% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.1% 3.55
Under 3.5 71.9% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.4% 7.46
Under 4.5 86.6% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.7% 1.83
No 45.3% 2.21

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 69.9% 1.43
Espanyol / Real Sociedad 72.9% 1.37
Draw / Real Sociedad 57.2% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
7.5
5.0
2.0
0.6
0.1
1
9.4
12.9
7.3
2.9
0.9
0.2
2
7.5
9.0
5.4
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
3.7
4.4
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
1.4
1.6
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.