Skip to content
Sunday 29 January 2017, 17:15 RCDE Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 2–1
31% 25% 45%
Home win
30.7%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
44.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 30.7% 3.26
Draw 24.5% 4.07
Sevilla 44.8% 2.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.43
Over 1.5 82.9% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.1% 5.85
Over 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Under 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Over 3.5 38.7% 2.58
Under 3.5 61.3% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.1% 4.73
Under 4.5 78.9% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.0% 1.59
No 37.0% 2.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 55.2% 1.81
Espanyol / Sevilla 75.5% 1.33
Draw / Sevilla 69.3% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
6.8
6.5
3.8
1.6
0.6
1
5.4
11.1
9.1
5.3
2.3
0.8
2
4.3
7.4
6.5
3.8
1.6
0.6
3
2.0
3.5
3.0
1.8
0.8
0.3
4
0.7
1.2
1.1
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.