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Sunday 11 December 2016, 19:30 RCDE Stadium Full time
58% 24% 17%
Home win
58.4%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
17.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 58.4% 1.71
Draw 24.5% 4.09
Sporting Gijon 17.1% 5.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.58
Over 1.5 74.3% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.7% 3.89
Over 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.4% 1.95
Over 3.5 26.8% 3.73
Under 3.5 73.2% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.5% 7.99
Under 4.5 87.5% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.2% 2.08
No 51.8% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 82.9% 1.21
Espanyol / Sporting Gijon 75.5% 1.32
Draw / Sporting Gijon 41.6% 2.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
5.6
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
12.2
11.6
4.7
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.4
9.7
4.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
3
6.7
5.7
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
3.0
2.5
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.