Saturday 3 December 2016, 21:45
Vicente Calderón
Full time
58%
24%
18%
Home win
58.1%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
17.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 12.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.0% | 7.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Espanyol | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
5.5
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
11.6
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
9.7
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
5.8
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Atletico Madrid
4-2
Espanyol
Aug 2025
Espanyol
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2025
Espanyol
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Aug 2024
Atletico Madrid
0-0
Espanyol
May 2023
Espanyol
3-3
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2022
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Espanyol
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.