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Sunday 27 November 2016, 17:15 Estadio El Sadar Full time
17% 23% 60%
Home win
17.4%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
59.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna 17.4% 5.76
Draw 23.0% 4.35
Atletico Madrid 59.7% 1.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.94
Over 1.5 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.3% 4.70
Over 2.5 54.8% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.2% 2.21
Over 3.5 32.4% 3.08
Under 3.5 67.6% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.4% 6.11
Under 4.5 83.6% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna / Draw 40.3% 2.48
Osasuna / Atletico Madrid 77.0% 1.30
Draw / Atletico Madrid 82.6% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
10.3
10.5
6.7
3.2
1.2
1
4.7
10.9
9.9
6.4
3.1
1.2
2
2.5
4.9
4.7
3.0
1.5
0.6
3
0.8
1.5
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Osasuna goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.