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Monday 21 November 2016, 21:45 Municipal de Butarque Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
32% 28% 40%
Home win
32.0%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
40.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 32.0% 3.12
Draw 27.7% 3.61
Osasuna 40.3% 2.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.37
Over 1.5 74.2% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.8% 3.88
Over 2.5 48.5% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.5% 1.94
Over 3.5 26.7% 3.75
Under 3.5 73.3% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.4% 8.04
Under 4.5 87.6% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.7% 1.86
No 46.3% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 59.7% 1.67
Leganes / Osasuna 72.3% 1.38
Draw / Osasuna 68.0% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
9.5
7.1
3.3
1.2
0.3
1
8.2
13.2
8.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
5.4
7.6
5.3
2.5
0.9
0.2
3
2.2
3.1
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
0.7
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Osasuna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.