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Saturday 1 October 2016, 14:00 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
31% 23% 47%
Home win
30.6%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
46.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 30.6% 3.27
Draw 22.5% 4.44
Leganes 46.9% 2.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.8% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.2% 31.14
Over 1.5 88.1% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.9% 8.41
Over 2.5 70.0% 1.43
Under 2.5 30.0% 3.33
Over 3.5 48.8% 2.05
Under 3.5 51.2% 1.95
Over 4.5 29.7% 3.37
Under 4.5 70.3% 1.42

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 69.7% 1.43
No 30.3% 3.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 53.1% 1.88
Granada CF / Leganes 77.5% 1.29
Draw / Leganes 69.4% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.2
4.9
5.4
3.6
1.8
0.7
1
3.8
9.2
8.7
5.9
2.9
1.2
2
3.5
7.0
7.0
4.7
2.4
1.0
3
1.8
3.7
3.7
2.5
1.3
0.5
4
0.7
1.5
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
5
0.2
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.