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Sunday 25 September 2016, 13:00 Municipal de Butarque Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
63% 18% 19%
Home win
63.1%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
18.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 63.1% 1.59
Draw 18.1% 5.51
Valencia 18.8% 5.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.0% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.0% 49.73
Over 1.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.0% 12.54
Over 2.5 77.8% 1.28
Under 2.5 22.2% 4.51
Over 3.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 3.5 41.1% 2.43
Over 4.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 4.5 60.6% 1.65

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 71.6% 1.40
No 28.4% 3.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 81.2% 1.23
Leganes / Valencia 81.9% 1.22
Draw / Valencia 36.9% 2.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.0
2.0
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
1
4.0
6.7
4.6
2.2
0.8
0.2
2
5.8
8.4
6.1
2.9
1.1
0.3
3
5.2
7.5
5.4
2.6
0.9
0.3
4
3.4
5.0
3.6
1.7
0.6
0.2
5
1.8
2.7
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.