Thursday 22 September 2016, 23:00
Mestalla
Full time
17%
18%
66%
Home win
16.5%
Draw
17.7%
Away win
65.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.7% | 5.66 | — | — |
| Alaves | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.2% | 45.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.8% | 11.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| No | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Valencia / Alaves | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.2
|
4.5
|
6.6
|
5.8
|
3.9
|
2.1
|
| 1 |
2.0
|
6.9
|
8.7
|
7.7
|
5.2
|
2.8
|
| 2 |
1.6
|
4.3
|
5.7
|
5.1
|
3.4
|
1.8
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.9
|
2.5
|
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Valencia
3-2
Alaves
Oct 2025
Alaves
0-0
Valencia
May 2025
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
Dec 2024
Valencia
2-2
Alaves
May 2024
Valencia
0-1
Alaves
Sep 2023
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.