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Saturday 27 August 2016, 19:15 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
25% 63% 12%
Home win
25.1%
Draw
63.1%
Away win
11.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 25.1% 3.98
Draw 63.1% 1.59
Valencia 11.8% 8.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 40.9% 2.44
Under 0.5 59.1% 1.69
Over 1.5 10.2% 9.82
Under 1.5 89.8% 1.11
Over 2.5 1.7% 59.49
Under 2.5 98.3% 1.02
Over 3.5 0.2% 460.83
Under 3.5 99.8% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 4,347.83
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 5.1% 19.58
No 94.9% 1.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 88.2% 1.13
Eibar / Valencia 36.9% 2.71
Draw / Valencia 74.9% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
59.1
10.4
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
20.3
3.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
3.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.