Monday 19 September 2016, 21:45
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
42%
24%
34%
Home win
42.1%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
34.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.8% | 7.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Alaves / Deportivo La Coruna | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
4.7
|
4.3
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
10.1
|
7.7
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
8.6
|
7.0
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
5.2
|
4.2
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
2.3
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2018
Alaves
1-0
Deportivo La Coruna
Sep 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
1-0
Alaves
Feb 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
0-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.