Saturday 10 September 2016, 21:30
Camp Nou
Full time
10%
45%
45%
Home win
10.2%
Draw
45.3%
Away win
44.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 10.2% | 9.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Alaves | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 7.5% | 13.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.7% | 57.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 98.3% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.3% | 307.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 99.7% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11.1% | 9.00 | — | — |
| No | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Alaves | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
38.2
|
27.7
|
10.5
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
6.8
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Alaves
1-0
Barcelona
Nov 2025
Barcelona
3-1
Alaves
Feb 2025
Barcelona
1-0
Alaves
Oct 2024
Alaves
0-3
Barcelona
Feb 2024
Alaves
1-3
Barcelona
Nov 2023
Barcelona
2-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.