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Sunday 28 August 2016, 21:15 San Mamés Full time
Athletic Club
0–1
HT 0–1
Barcelona
100% 0% 0%
Home win
99.8%
Draw
0.1%
Away win
0.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 99.8% 1.00 — —
Draw 0.1% 729.93 — —
Barcelona 0.1% 1,754.39 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00 — —
Under 0.5 0.0% — — —
Over 1.5 100.0% 1.00 — —
Under 1.5 0.0% 50,000.00 — —
Over 2.5 100.0% 1.00 — —
Under 2.5 0.0% 7,142.86 — —
Over 3.5 99.9% 1.00 — —
Under 3.5 0.1% 1,250.00 — —
Over 4.5 99.7% 1.00 — —
Under 4.5 0.3% 299.40 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 77.8% 1.29 — —
No 22.2% 4.50 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 99.9% 1.00 — —
Athletic Club / Barcelona 99.9% 1.00 — —
Draw / Barcelona 0.2% 515.46 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Athletic Club
L
Barcelona
W

Head to head

Mar 2026 Athletic Club 0-1 Barcelona Nov 2025 Barcelona 4-0 Athletic Club May 2025 Athletic Club 0-3 Barcelona Aug 2024 Barcelona 2-1 Athletic Club Mar 2024 Athletic Club 0-0 Barcelona Oct 2023 Barcelona 1-0 Athletic Club

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.