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Sunday 11 September 2016, 21:30 Estadio de Riazor Full time
12% 53% 35%
Home win
11.8%
Draw
53.3%
Away win
34.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna 11.8% 8.45
Draw 53.3% 1.88
Athletic Club 34.9% 2.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 52.7% 1.90
Under 0.5 47.3% 2.11
Over 1.5 17.9% 5.59
Under 1.5 82.1% 1.22
Over 2.5 4.1% 24.21
Under 2.5 95.9% 1.04
Over 3.5 0.7% 133.51
Under 3.5 99.3% 1.01
Over 4.5 0.1% 909.09
Under 4.5 99.9% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 8.5% 11.76
No 91.5% 1.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna / Draw 65.1% 1.54
Deportivo La Coruna / Athletic Club 46.7% 2.14
Draw / Athletic Club 88.2% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
47.3
24.9
6.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
1
10.0
5.9
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.