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Saturday 11 February 2017, 19:30 San Mamés Full time
48% 28% 24%
Home win
48.2%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
24.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 48.2% 2.08
Draw 27.6% 3.62
Deportivo La Coruna 24.2% 4.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.86
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.49
Over 2.5 44.8% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.6% 4.24
Under 3.5 76.4% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.55
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.1% 2.04
No 50.9% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 75.8% 1.32
Athletic Club / Deportivo La Coruna 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Deportivo La Coruna 51.8% 1.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
7.6
4.1
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
11.9
13.1
6.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.4
9.2
4.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
4.6
4.6
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.7
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.