Saturday 14 January 2017, 21:45
Estadio de Riazor
Full time
23%
28%
49%
Home win
23.3%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
48.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.9% | 10.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.60 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna / Draw | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna / Villarreal | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.9
|
12.7
|
9.8
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
13.2
|
9.1
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
5.8
|
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2018
Deportivo La Coruna
2-4
Villarreal
Jan 2018
Villarreal
1-1
Deportivo La Coruna
May 2017
Villarreal
0-0
Deportivo La Coruna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.