Saturday 17 December 2016, 14:00
El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini
Full time
17%
26%
57%
Home win
17.0%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
56.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 17.0% | 5.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.2% | 9.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.0% | 11.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon / Draw | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Sporting Gijon / Villarreal | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.2
|
14.4
|
12.1
|
6.4
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.5
|
12.2
|
9.2
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
4.4
|
3.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.