Saturday 26 November 2016, 17:15
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
92%
6%
2%
Home win
91.9%
Draw
5.9%
Away win
2.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 5.9% | 17.02 | — | — |
| Sporting Gijon | 2.3% | 43.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.9% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.1% | 93.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.1% | 19.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 15.4% | 6.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Sporting Gijon | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Draw / Sporting Gijon | 8.1% | 12.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.6
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.0
|
6.6
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.1
|
6.7
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
8.2
|
5.4
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.