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Saturday 15 October 2016, 21:45 Benito Villamarín Full time
25% 26% 49%
Home win
25.1%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
48.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 25.1% 3.99
Draw 26.2% 3.82
Real Madrid 48.7% 2.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.59
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.17
Over 2.5 50.9% 1.97
Under 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.8% 3.47
Under 3.5 71.2% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.22
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.0% 1.85
No 46.0% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 51.3% 1.95
Real Betis / Real Madrid 73.8% 1.35
Draw / Real Madrid 74.9% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
10.0
8.7
4.7
1.9
0.6
1
6.6
12.5
9.5
5.1
2.1
0.7
2
4.0
6.4
5.2
2.8
1.1
0.4
3
1.5
2.4
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.