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Saturday 24 September 2016, 21:45 Gran Canaria Full time
Las Palmas
2–2
HT 1–1
Real Madrid
24% 22% 54%
Home win
24.0%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
53.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 24.0% 4.16 — —
Draw 22.4% 4.47 — —
Real Madrid 53.6% 1.87 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.45 — —
Over 1.5 85.7% 1.17 — —
Under 1.5 14.3% 7.01 — —
Over 2.5 65.8% 1.52 — —
Under 2.5 34.2% 2.92 — —
Over 3.5 43.9% 2.28 — —
Under 3.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Over 4.5 25.4% 3.94 — —
Under 4.5 74.6% 1.34 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.8% 1.54 — —
No 35.2% 2.84 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 46.4% 2.15 — —
Las Palmas / Real Madrid 77.6% 1.29 — —
Draw / Real Madrid 76.0% 1.32 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
6.4
7.1
4.9
2.5
1.0
1
3.9
9.8
9.5
6.5
3.3
1.4
2
3.0
6.2
6.3
4.3
2.2
0.9
3
1.3
2.7
2.8
1.9
1.0
0.4
4
0.4
0.9
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Las Palmas
W W L W L
Real Madrid
W W W W D

Head to head

Jan 2025 Real Madrid 4-1 Las Palmas Aug 2024 Las Palmas 1-1 Real Madrid Jan 2024 Las Palmas 1-2 Real Madrid Sep 2023 Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas Mar 2018 Las Palmas 0-3 Real Madrid Nov 2017 Real Madrid 3-0 Las Palmas

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.