Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Sunday 18 September 2016, 21:45 RCDE Stadium Full time
Espanyol
0–2
HT 0–1
Real Madrid
15% 10% 75%
Home win
14.7%
Draw
9.9%
Away win
75.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 14.7% 6.81 — —
Draw 9.9% 10.05 — —
Real Madrid 75.4% 1.33 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00 — —
Under 0.5 0.0% 2,325.58 — —
Over 1.5 99.8% 1.00 — —
Under 1.5 0.2% 540.54 — —
Over 2.5 99.0% 1.01 — —
Under 2.5 1.0% 101.42 — —
Over 3.5 96.8% 1.03 — —
Under 3.5 3.2% 31.42 — —
Over 4.5 92.2% 1.08 — —
Under 4.5 7.8% 12.77 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 94.4% 1.06 — —
No 5.6% 17.93 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 24.6% 4.06 — —
Espanyol / Real Madrid 90.1% 1.11 — —
Draw / Real Madrid 85.3% 1.17 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.6
0.8
0.9
1
0.0
0.4
1.0
1.8
2.5
2.7
2
0.1
0.5
1.4
2.6
3.6
4.0
3
0.1
0.5
1.4
2.6
3.6
3.9
4
0.1
0.4
1.1
1.9
2.6
2.9
5
0.0
0.2
0.6
1.1
1.6
1.7
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Espanyol
L D D
Real Madrid
W W W

Head to head

May 2026 Espanyol 0-2 Real Madrid Sep 2025 Real Madrid 2-0 Espanyol Feb 2025 Espanyol 1-0 Real Madrid Sep 2024 Real Madrid 4-1 Espanyol Mar 2023 Real Madrid 3-1 Espanyol Aug 2022 Espanyol 1-3 Real Madrid

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.