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Friday 9 September 2016, 21:45 Anoeta Full time
6% 6% 88%
Home win
6.5%
Draw
5.8%
Away win
87.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 6.5% 15.44
Draw 5.8% 17.21
Espanyol 87.7% 1.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.0% 5,882.35
Over 1.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 1.5 0.1% 1,333.33
Over 2.5 99.6% 1.00
Under 2.5 0.4% 225.23
Over 3.5 98.4% 1.02
Under 3.5 1.6% 62.89
Over 4.5 95.7% 1.05
Under 4.5 4.3% 23.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 93.0% 1.07
No 7.0% 14.36

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 12.3% 8.14
Real Sociedad / Espanyol 94.2% 1.06
Draw / Espanyol 93.5% 1.07

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.7
1.0
1
0.0
0.2
0.5
1.1
2.0
2.7
2
0.0
0.2
0.7
1.5
2.6
3.6
3
0.0
0.2
0.6
1.4
2.3
3.2
4
0.0
0.1
0.4
0.9
1.6
2.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.5
0.8
1.2
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.