Saturday 31 March 2018, 19:30
Gran Canaria
Full time
11%
15%
75%
Home win
10.5%
Draw
14.8%
Away win
74.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 10.5% | 9.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.8% | 6.76 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.2% | 45.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.0% | 11.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Real Madrid | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.2
|
5.1
|
7.9
|
7.7
|
5.6
|
3.3
|
| 1 |
1.6
|
6.2
|
8.5
|
8.2
|
6.0
|
3.5
|
| 2 |
1.1
|
3.1
|
4.5
|
4.4
|
3.2
|
1.9
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
1.1
|
1.6
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Real Madrid
4-1
Las Palmas
Aug 2024
Las Palmas
1-1
Real Madrid
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
1-2
Real Madrid
Sep 2023
Real Madrid
2-0
Las Palmas
Nov 2017
Real Madrid
3-0
Las Palmas
Mar 2017
Real Madrid
3-3
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.