Sunday 18 March 2018, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
69%
17%
14%
Home win
69.0%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
13.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.5% | 5.73 | — | — |
| Girona | 13.5% | 7.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.4% | 8.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| No | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Girona | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Girona | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
7.6
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
9.2
|
5.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
8.0
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
5.1
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
2.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Real Madrid
1-1
Girona
Nov 2025
Girona
1-1
Real Madrid
Feb 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Girona
Dec 2024
Girona
0-3
Real Madrid
Feb 2024
Real Madrid
4-0
Girona
Sep 2023
Girona
0-3
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.