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Sunday 18 March 2018, 21:45 Santiago Bernabéu Full time
6–3
HT 1–1
69% 17% 14%
Home win
69.0%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
13.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid 69.0% 1.45
Draw 17.5% 5.73
Girona 13.5% 7.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.0% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.0% 33.85
Over 1.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.4% 8.78
Over 2.5 71.1% 1.41
Under 2.5 28.9% 3.46
Over 3.5 50.1% 1.99
Under 3.5 49.9% 2.01
Over 4.5 30.9% 3.24
Under 4.5 69.1% 1.45

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.9% 1.62
No 38.1% 2.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid / Draw 86.5% 1.16
Real Madrid / Girona 82.5% 1.21
Draw / Girona 31.0% 3.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.0
2.3
1.5
0.5
0.2
0.0
1
6.1
7.6
3.9
1.4
0.4
0.1
2
8.4
9.2
5.0
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
7.3
8.0
4.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
4
4.7
5.1
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
5
2.4
2.7
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Madrid goals. Columns: Girona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.