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Saturday 3 March 2018, 21:45 Santiago Bernabéu Full time
3–1
HT 2–0
58% 24% 18%
Home win
57.9%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
18.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid 57.9% 1.73
Draw 24.1% 4.15
Getafe 18.0% 5.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.90
Over 1.5 76.3% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.7% 4.21
Over 2.5 51.3% 1.95
Under 2.5 48.7% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.2% 3.43
Under 3.5 70.8% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.1% 7.09
Under 4.5 85.9% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.8% 1.97
No 49.2% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Madrid / Draw 82.0% 1.22
Real Madrid / Getafe 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Getafe 42.1% 2.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
5.3
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
11.2
11.5
5.0
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.7
9.8
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.5
5.9
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.9
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Madrid goals. Columns: Getafe goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.