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Sunday 18 February 2018, 21:45 Benito Villamarín Full time
17% 18% 65%
Home win
16.7%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
65.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 16.7% 6.00
Draw 18.2% 5.49
Real Madrid 65.1% 1.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.5% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.5% 39.79
Over 1.5 90.2% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.8% 10.22
Over 2.5 74.1% 1.35
Under 2.5 25.9% 3.87
Over 3.5 54.0% 1.85
Under 3.5 46.0% 2.17
Over 4.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 4.5 65.5% 1.53

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.1% 1.49
No 32.9% 3.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 34.9% 2.87
Real Betis / Real Madrid 81.8% 1.22
Draw / Real Madrid 83.3% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.5
5.0
7.0
6.0
3.9
2.0
1
2.3
7.4
9.0
7.7
5.0
2.6
2
1.7
4.4
5.7
4.9
3.2
1.7
3
0.7
1.9
2.4
2.1
1.4
0.7
4
0.2
0.6
0.8
0.7
0.4
0.2
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.