Saturday 27 January 2018, 17:15
Mestalla
Full time
27%
22%
50%
Home win
27.3%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
50.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.7% | 7.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| No | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Valencia / Real Madrid | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
5.5
|
6.1
|
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
3.8
|
9.4
|
9.1
|
6.2
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
3.2
|
6.6
|
6.8
|
4.6
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
3.3
|
3.3
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Valencia
0-2
Real Madrid
Nov 2025
Real Madrid
4-0
Valencia
Apr 2025
Real Madrid
1-2
Valencia
Jan 2025
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Mar 2024
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
Nov 2023
Real Madrid
5-1
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.