Saturday 6 January 2018, 17:15
Mestalla
Full time
57%
22%
21%
Home win
57.1%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
21.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.9% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Girona | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.9% | 6.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Valencia / Girona | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Girona | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
3.8
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
9.8
|
5.6
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
9.7
|
5.9
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
6.8
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.6
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Valencia
2-1
Girona
Oct 2025
Girona
2-1
Valencia
Mar 2025
Girona
1-1
Valencia
Sep 2024
Valencia
2-0
Girona
May 2024
Valencia
1-3
Girona
Dec 2023
Girona
2-1
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.