Saturday 9 December 2017, 21:45
Mestalla
Full time
60%
20%
20%
Home win
59.9%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
20.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 20.1% | 4.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 34.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.9% | 9.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Valencia / Celta Vigo | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
2.8
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
8.2
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
9.2
|
6.2
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
7.3
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
4.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
2.1
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Valencia
2-3
Celta Vigo
Jan 2026
Celta Vigo
4-1
Valencia
Feb 2025
Valencia
2-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
3-1
Valencia
May 2024
Celta Vigo
2-2
Valencia
Nov 2023
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.