Saturday 28 October 2017, 14:00
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
32%
29%
40%
Home win
31.7%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
39.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Valencia | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.4% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.4% | 9.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Alaves / Valencia | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
10.4
|
7.4
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
13.6
|
8.5
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
7.4
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
2.8
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Valencia
3-2
Alaves
Oct 2025
Alaves
0-0
Valencia
May 2025
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
Dec 2024
Valencia
2-2
Alaves
May 2024
Valencia
0-1
Alaves
Sep 2023
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.