Saturday 21 October 2017, 19:30
Mestalla
Full time
38%
25%
37%
Home win
38.1%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
36.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.3% | 5.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Valencia / Sevilla | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
6.4
|
5.4
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
11.6
|
8.3
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
8.5
|
6.4
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
4.4
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Sevilla
0-2
Valencia
Dec 2025
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Apr 2025
Valencia
1-0
Sevilla
Jan 2025
Sevilla
1-1
Valencia
Feb 2024
Valencia
0-0
Sevilla
Aug 2023
Sevilla
1-2
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.