Wednesday 20 September 2017, 23:00
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
70%
18%
13%
Home win
69.7%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
12.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 12.8% | 7.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.5% | 8.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Las Palmas | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
7.8
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.4
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
7.9
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
5.0
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.5
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Sevilla
1-0
Las Palmas
Aug 2024
Las Palmas
2-2
Sevilla
Apr 2024
Las Palmas
0-2
Sevilla
Sep 2023
Sevilla
1-0
Las Palmas
Feb 2018
Las Palmas
1-2
Sevilla
Feb 2017
Las Palmas
0-1
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.