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Saturday 19 August 2017, 23:15 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
54% 25% 21%
Home win
54.3%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
20.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 54.3% 1.84
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Espanyol 20.9% 4.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.40
Over 1.5 77.0% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.0% 4.35
Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.32
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.7% 6.78
Under 4.5 85.3% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.3% 1.88
No 46.7% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 79.1% 1.26
Sevilla / Espanyol 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Espanyol 45.7% 2.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
5.7
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
10.4
11.8
5.6
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.7
9.8
4.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
5.7
5.7
2.9
1.0
0.2
0.1
4
2.5
2.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.9
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.