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Friday 5 May 2017, 22:00 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
54% 24% 22%
Home win
53.8%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
22.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 53.8% 1.86
Draw 24.0% 4.16
Real Sociedad 22.1% 4.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.15
Over 1.5 80.1% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.9% 5.02
Over 2.5 56.7% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.3% 2.31
Over 3.5 34.3% 2.91
Under 3.5 65.7% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.8% 5.63
Under 4.5 82.2% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.2% 1.75
No 42.8% 2.34

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 77.9% 1.28
Sevilla / Real Sociedad 76.0% 1.32
Draw / Real Sociedad 46.2% 2.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
5.1
3.2
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
8.9
11.3
5.9
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.8
9.8
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
5.4
6.0
3.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
4
2.5
2.8
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.9
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.