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Saturday 29 April 2017, 14:00 Anoeta Full time
74% 17% 9%
Home win
74.3%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
8.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 74.3% 1.35
Draw 16.9% 5.93
Granada CF 8.9% 11.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.94
Over 1.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.4% 5.73
Over 2.5 60.8% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Over 3.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 3.5 61.5% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.9% 4.78
Under 4.5 79.1% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.5% 2.10
No 52.5% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 91.1% 1.10
Real Sociedad / Granada CF 83.1% 1.20
Draw / Granada CF 25.7% 3.88

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
10.0
8.0
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
12.6
9.2
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
10.1
7.4
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
6.1
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
3.0
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.