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Sunday 16 April 2017, 21:45 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
27% 25% 48%
Home win
27.1%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
48.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 27.1% 3.69
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Celta Vigo 48.1% 2.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.91
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.23
Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.1% 2.38
Over 3.5 35.5% 2.82
Under 3.5 64.5% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.6% 5.36
Under 4.5 81.4% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.9% 1.67
No 40.1% 2.49

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 51.9% 1.93
Granada CF / Celta Vigo 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Celta Vigo 72.9% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
8.0
7.5
4.4
1.9
0.7
1
5.6
11.5
9.5
5.5
2.4
0.8
2
3.9
6.9
6.0
3.5
1.5
0.5
3
1.7
2.9
2.5
1.5
0.6
0.2
4
0.5
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.