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Sunday 19 March 2017, 19:30 El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini Full time
50% 25% 26%
Home win
49.5%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
25.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon 49.5% 2.02
Draw 24.8% 4.02
Granada CF 25.6% 3.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 17.05
Over 1.5 80.1% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.9% 5.02
Over 2.5 56.7% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.3% 2.31
Over 3.5 34.3% 2.92
Under 3.5 65.7% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.7% 5.64
Under 4.5 82.3% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.5% 1.71
No 41.5% 2.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon / Draw 74.4% 1.34
Sporting Gijon / Granada CF 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Granada CF 50.5% 1.98

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
5.6
3.8
1.5
0.5
0.1
1
8.5
11.6
6.6
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
8.0
9.6
5.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
4.7
5.6
3.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
2.0
2.5
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.7
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sporting Gijon goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.