Skip to content
Wednesday 1 March 2017, 22:30 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
27% 30% 43%
Home win
27.4%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
42.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 27.4% 3.64
Draw 29.6% 3.38
Alaves 42.9% 2.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.09
Over 1.5 67.3% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.7% 3.05
Over 2.5 39.9% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.1% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.7% 5.08
Under 3.5 80.3% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.2% 12.26
Under 4.5 91.8% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.3% 2.16
No 53.7% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 57.1% 1.75
Granada CF / Alaves 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Alaves 72.6% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
12.5
8.6
3.7
1.2
0.3
1
9.3
13.8
8.5
3.7
1.2
0.3
2
4.9
6.4
4.2
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.6
2.1
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Alaves goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.