Saturday 25 February 2017, 14:00
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
46%
27%
27%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
26.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Valencia | 26.6% | 3.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Alaves / Valencia | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
7.6
|
4.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
13.1
|
6.6
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
9.2
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
4.5
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Valencia
3-2
Alaves
Oct 2025
Alaves
0-0
Valencia
May 2025
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
Dec 2024
Valencia
2-2
Alaves
May 2024
Valencia
0-1
Alaves
Sep 2023
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.