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Saturday 11 February 2017, 14:00 Benito Villamarín Full time
46% 25% 29%
Home win
45.8%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
29.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 45.8% 2.18
Draw 25.2% 3.97
Valencia 29.0% 3.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.62
Over 1.5 80.6% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.4% 5.17
Over 2.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 2.5 42.5% 2.35
Over 3.5 35.1% 2.85
Under 3.5 64.9% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.4% 5.45
Under 4.5 81.6% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.1% 1.66
No 39.9% 2.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 71.0% 1.41
Real Betis / Valencia 74.8% 1.34
Draw / Valencia 54.2% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
5.9
4.3
1.9
0.6
0.2
1
7.8
11.7
7.2
3.1
1.0
0.3
2
7.2
9.3
6.1
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
4.0
5.3
3.4
1.5
0.5
0.1
4
1.7
2.2
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.6
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.