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Sunday 29 January 2017, 13:00 Benito Villamarín Full time
13% 20% 68%
Home win
12.6%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
67.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 12.6% 7.96
Draw 19.5% 5.13
Barcelona 67.9% 1.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.78
Over 1.5 82.0% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.0% 5.55
Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Over 3.5 37.4% 2.68
Under 3.5 62.6% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.1% 4.98
Under 4.5 79.9% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.1% 1.92
No 47.9% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 32.1% 3.12
Real Betis / Barcelona 80.5% 1.24
Draw / Barcelona 87.4% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
9.6
11.3
8.4
4.7
2.1
1
3.4
9.2
9.7
7.2
4.0
1.8
2
1.7
3.8
4.2
3.1
1.7
0.8
3
0.5
1.1
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.