Sunday 8 January 2017, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
38%
29%
33%
Home win
38.3%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
33.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.9% | 9.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.4% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Barcelona | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
9.1
|
5.9
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
13.6
|
7.7
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
8.3
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
3.6
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Barcelona
4-1
Villarreal
Dec 2025
Villarreal
0-2
Barcelona
May 2025
Barcelona
2-3
Villarreal
Sep 2024
Villarreal
1-5
Barcelona
Jan 2024
Barcelona
3-5
Villarreal
Aug 2023
Villarreal
3-4
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.